Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 26.700748 30.814932 35.263719 40.420743 46.222615 52.536407 59.915192
2025-01-12 19.018579 24.550808 31.115865 39.426952 49.608570 61.612121 76.765658
2025-01-19 14.079403 19.931440 27.420509 37.587570 50.892763 67.560570 89.844743
2025-01-26 12.290350 18.730202 27.477785 40.014598 57.266774 79.884448 111.431184
2025-02-02 11.340601 18.400192 28.482773 43.596602 65.267144 94.738627 137.256820
2025-02-09 9.805878 16.916894 27.579428 44.265057 69.136991 104.142664 156.249642
2025-02-16 8.407688 15.383903 26.339530 44.190039 71.774639 111.840006 173.199991
2025-02-23 7.190373 13.927609 24.988058 43.712423 73.641732 118.402429 188.773815
2025-03-02 6.229034 12.740500 23.889452 43.452766 75.718377 125.287405 205.104056
2025-03-09 5.418263 11.684774 22.858525 43.148000 77.617074 131.921927 221.332124
2025-03-16 4.410333 10.087332 20.672407 40.623016 75.616515 132.253009 227.732836
2025-03-23 4.061336 9.724957 20.656210 41.855650 79.951562 142.872476 250.839470
2025-03-30 3.807237 9.555007 21.045298 43.979200 86.203025 157.361543 281.616917
2025-04-06 3.225977 8.590063 19.794554 42.968329 86.921228 162.834175 298.227109
2025-04-13 2.645936 7.507974 18.148965 40.996299 85.691982 164.869094 309.183298
2025-04-20 2.541746 7.531679 18.802408 43.615357 93.163429 182.414724 347.422625
2025-04-27 2.537733 7.802549 20.015776 47.475370 103.257035 205.141454 395.737783
2025-05-04 2.298360 7.422423 19.735847 48.195373 107.315178 217.257623 426.080738
2025-05-11 2.035454 6.924354 19.115845 48.114602 109.761878 226.543111 451.831574
2025-05-18 1.781262 6.394080 18.341551 47.600224 111.263397 234.115201 474.814216
2025-05-25 1.572270 5.948352 17.706906 47.320558 113.201009 242.580790 499.802248
2025-06-01 1.387009 5.531803 17.083798 46.992285 114.990124 250.829369 524.749038
2025-06-08 1.125529 4.800753 15.527037 44.271680 111.404719 248.364509 529.378254